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"Seriously Underwater" Home Mortgages Tick Up Across the US
Peachtree CEO Greg Friedman comments on a recent article by Alexandre Tanzi for Bloomberg about the state of the multifamily market in the US.
ATLANTA (April 3, 2024) – Peachtree Group ("Peachtree") announced the elevation of three senior executives, expanding their roles to strengthen the firm’s executive leadership team. The promotions include Michael Harper to president of hotel lending, Jared Schlosser to executive vice president of hotel lending and head of CPACE and Michael Ritz to executive vice president of investments.
"These appointments underscore Peachtree's commitment to its core growth initiatives in hotel lending, as well as fostering talent from within our own ranks, with an eye toward further diversifying its allocation strategies as it taps into new investment opportunities," said Greg Friedman, Peachtree's CEO and managing principal.
Since joining Peachtree in 2014, Harper has distinguished himself through a succession of leadership roles, directing the company's credit business, particularly in loan originations and strategic acquisition of credit portfolios. Since joining, he has led the team through over 500 investments totaling over $6 billion. As president, he is responsible for the entirety of Peachtree's credit platform for hotels, guiding all facets of the credit business.
Schlosser's promotion to executive vice president of hotel lending and head of CPACE reflects his exceptional performance and extensive knowledge of the hotel loan origination processes and the firm's Commercial Property Assessed Clean Energy (CPACE) program. His significant contributions since joining the firm in 2019 have been crucial in advancing Peachtree's CPACE program, which now exceeds $800 million in transactions and has become one of the largest in the U.S. Furthermore, since taking over hotel originations at the start of 2022, Peachtree has completed more than $1.5 billion in hotel loans, further demonstrating his expertise and effectiveness in these dual roles.
Ritz has been elevated to the position of executive vice president of investments and will oversee Peachtree's credit and equity investments across commercial real estate and other ventures. He joined Peachtree in 2017, and his promotion recognizes his expertise in successfully managing and growing a portfolio of investments that is now approaching $10 billion in transaction asset value.
Peachtree was recently ranked as the tenth largest U.S. commercial real estate hotel lender, its third consecutive year in the top ten, by the Mortgage Bankers Association ("MBA") 2023 loan origination rankings.
About Peachtree Group
Peachtree Group is a vertically integrated investment management firm specializing in identifying and capitalizing on opportunities in dislocated markets, anchored by commercial real estate. Today, we manage billions in capital across acquisitions, development, and lending, augmented by services designed to protect, support and grow our investments. For more information, visit www.peachtreegroup.com.
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It seems like the housing market is currently in a better position compared to previous economic recessions, such as the one in 2009. Back then, 26% of mortgaged residential properties had negative equity, while now it's only about 2.7%. Although industries reliant on debt, like commercial real estate, are facing challenges recalibrating to higher interest rates, it's unlikely that we're headed towards a major economic recession without a significant setback in the housing market.
The stability of the housing sector can help cushion against economic downturns, as it directly impacts consumer wealth and confidence, which in turn influences spending - a significant factor considering that consumer expenditures make up about 70% of the U.S. GDP. This stability enhances the likelihood of sustained economic growth rather than a descent into a recession.
This commentary originally appeared on Greg Friedman's LinkedIn page on May 15, 2024, in response to a Bloomberg article by Alexandre Tanzi titled: "Seriously Underwater' Home Mortgages Tick Up Across the US.
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Learn more about Peachtree Group's Credit division.
A Critical Recessioin Red Flag is Missing
Peachtree CEO Greg Friedman comments on a recent article by Phil Rosen for Inc. Magazine that examines loan demand despite high interest rates.
Prior to 2022, borrowers enjoyed for over a decade the opportunity to secure loans at near-zero interest rates, a boon that fueled growth and expansion in the commercial real estate market. Today, we see an unprecedented volume of loans maturing in a much higher interest rate environment, with banks reducing exposure to commercial real estate. Despite these conditions, the demand for loans continues to grow.
Historically, a spike in loan demand during higher interest rates would be a warning sign of a looming credit crunch. Yet, defying expectations, recent data suggests a deviation from this pattern, with banks reporting increased lending activity despite maintaining onerous lending standards. This anomaly, combined with moderated inflation, challenges traditional recession indicators. While some analysts cautiously suggest that "this time is different," economic uncertainties persist, posing an interesting question about the underlying market dynamics.
While uncertainties linger, one thing remains clear: the commercial real estate sector faces a pivotal juncture. We are navigating the evolving landscape vigilantly, balancing risk and opportunity in a market shaped by unprecedented forces.
This commentary originally appeared on Greg Friedman's LinkedIn page on May 16, 2024, in response to an Inc magazine article by Phil Rosen titled: A Critical Recession Red Flag is Missing.
Follow Greg Friedman and Peachtree Group on LinkedIn.
Learn more about Peachtree Group's Credit division.
Watch for These Signs of Recession as the Fed Keeps Rates Elevated
Peachtree CEO Greg Friedman comments on a recent article by Richard Berger for Globestreet. The article is a response to the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates steady.
The CPI report earlier this week showed a decrease in U.S. inflation pressures for the first time this year, following a higher-than-anticipated PPI. This might suggest the Fed's sustained efforts to mitigate consumer price pressures are beginning to show results. However, we are still far from reaching 2%, but maybe the Fed is seeing that inflation is finally on a downward trajectory. In my opinion, the Fed will need further data to gather the confidence required for contemplating interest rate cuts.
Today's prolonged high interest rates are dampening activity and risking recession. For the commercial real estate industry, time is of the essence, as we are already in a recession, and I am dimming on the prospect of a rate cut this year.
This persistent inflation significantly challenges the commercial real estate sector, especially with trillions of dollars of debt maturing. Elevated inflation has increased borrowing costs, strained cash flows and impacted property valuations.
Property owners face refinancing at significantly higher rates as debt matures, leading to increased debt service costs and reduced profitability. This strain on cash flows, coupled with higher expenses and lower income, creates a vicious cycle. Property valuations decline as borrowing costs rise, and investors demand higher returns, softening the market. This downward spiral tightens financial constraints, risking defaults and market instability, a situation that requires immediate attention.
Can the Fed get us out of this spiral before a larger meltdown without triggering new economic challenges?
The path forward will likely require a mix of monetary policy adjustments based on economic data and perhaps more targeted fiscal interventions to support vulnerable sectors.
No matter where the market leads, I'm enthusiastic about the opportunities that lie ahead, and our team is fully prepared to tackle the challenges.
This commentary originally appeared on Greg Friedman's LinkedIn page on May 19, 2024, in response to a Globestreet article titled: Watch for These Signs of Recession as the Fed Keeps Rates Elevated.
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