In the latest episode of Peachtree Point of View, host Greg Friedman delves into the world of private credit lending with Daniel Siegel, head of Peachtree Group's commercial real estate lending platform. Together, they unpack how today's evolving market landscape is opening doors to compelling private credit investments.
The market is at an inflection point, with treasury yields north of 4.5% and nearly $2 trillion in commercial real estate loans maturing over the next 24 months. Siegel observes, "If you bought in 2020-2022, there's a good chance you've experienced some value deterioration." This trend has pressured multifamily valuations, which have dropped by 20-25%, yet fundamentals remain solid, with properties continuing to maintain healthy occupancy.
The discussion highlights an intriguing paradox: while many assets face valuation challenges, they continue to perform well operationally. This disconnect is creating opportunities for sophisticated investors, particularly as banks contend with increasing regulatory pressure to reduce their commercial real estate exposure. Siegel shares an interesting case study of a Massachusetts multifamily project where his team stepped in to provide a creative financing solution that benefited both the original lender and the borrower.
The episode also offers nuanced insights into various property sectors. As mentioned, multifamily, while grappling with near-term pricing pressure, holds strong long-term fundamentals. Hospitality demonstrates remarkable resilience, leveraging its daily pricing power. Retail has emerged stronger after years of supply rationalization. Conversely, office assets present a mixed picture—Class A properties maintain performance, while secondary assets face substantial challenges.
For investors exploring private credit opportunities, Siegel emphasizes the importance of working with experienced managers equipped with the infrastructure for loan servicing and workouts. "It's easy to write loans," he notes. "It's the infrastructure needed to work them out that matters."
Drawing on Peachtree Group's 17-year track record and over $11 billion in commercial real estate investments, the discussion underscores the firm's ability to provide creative financing solutions while maintaining conservative underwriting (typically 65-70% LTV).This approach has helped the firm to capitalize on market dislocations while effectively managing risk.
With its seasoned expertise and innovative strategies, Peachtree Group continues to lead the way in delivering strong risk-adjusted returns on its investments. This episode is filled with actionable insights and strategic guidance for navigating today's complex market environment.
Commercial Observer | Pacifica Hotels has secured $126.1MM to refinance a portfolio of seven southern California hotels that hold a combined 601 rooms across San Diego, Pismo Beach, Venice, and Manhattan Beach.
Peachtree Group (along with Goldman Sachs) provided a three-year loan secured by the Belamar Hotel Manhattan Beach, which is part of the Hilton brand in Manhattan Beach, Calfornia.
Bloomberg TV - Greg Friedman, CEO of Peachtree Group, discussed the potential impact of the Fed's expected 25 basis point rate cut on commercial real estate. He noted that the 10-year treasury rate, currently at 4%, is already high, impacting commercial real estate values. Friedman expects the terminal rate to be around 2.75%, supporting the 10-year rate. He highlighted the stress from maturing loans, with $1 trillion due in the next year, and the opportunity for investors. Friedman also mentioned the thin risk premium spreads in commercial real estate, with multifamily assets trading at 5% cap rates. He emphasized the importance of credit investments over equity due to better risk-adjusted returns and the continued relevance of clean energy financing in commercial real estate.
Commercial Observer | Carlisle Corp. has landed a $51 million loan to refinance two Hyatt-branded hotel properties in Memphis, Tennessee.
Peachtree Group supplied the three-year, floating rate loan for the developer’s 227-room Hyatt Centric and 136-key Caption by Hyatt. Carlisle opened Caption by Hyatt in 2022 and Hyatt Centric in 2021.
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