2025 Market Insights
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As we move deeper into 2025, the market remains defined by volatility, dislocation and uncertainty. At Peachtree Group, we don’t wait for clarity, we lead through complexity. Despite persistent interest rate headwinds and shifting investor dynamics, our senior leaders see not just challenges but opportunities to deploy capital with precision, creativity and discipline. Here they share candid insights on navigating this evolving landscape, uncovering value where others see risk and positioning Peachtree to emerge stronger on the other side of the cycle.

“The truth is, we’re not waiting for a storm—we’re already in it. In any storm, pain is inevitable, but suffering is optional. For the past several years, we’ve operated in a market shaped by disruption: historic rate hikes, geopolitical shocks and policy uncertainty. We had hoped that we would have seen the darkest moments already, but this cycle had other plans. We’re navigating headwinds in real time, positioning ourselves to endure and emerge stronger. The next six months will likely bring continued volatility with persistent inflation, higher-for-longer interest rates and fragmented capital markets. Still, within that turbulence, signals of clarity are beginning to emerge. As visibility returns, whether through promised tax reform, trade resolution or regulatory recalibration, so too will stability.Our approach is simple. We don’t ignore the storm; we prepare for it. We position our portfolio not to avoid pain but to minimize unnecessary suffering.We are beginning to see the light and are positioned to lead as it returns.”
Greg Friedman, Managing Principal and CEO
“As a team, we’ve successfully navigated downturns, market volatility and shifting political and economic landscapes. Each disruption has only strengthened our resilience and sharpened our edge. While others view unpredictability as discomfort, we see it as an opportunity. It is the space where we thrive, uncovering opportunities to deploy capital and generate exceptional returns.”
Jatin Desai, Managing Principal and CFO
“Volatility continues to define the CRE landscape, disrupting early signs of recovery and forcing a rethink for many market participants. At Peachtree, we remain focused on fundamentals such as location, sponsorship, basis and demand drivers, which tend to outperform through cycles.With traditional lenders pulling back, we are actively financing high quality assets at a premium yield and expect continued opportunity in refinances, loan purchases and situations where execution, not momentum, is what matters.”
Michael Harper, President, Hotel Lending
“The uncertainty of the next 12 months isn’t just about the horizon; it’s about the volatility we face week to week. As transactions pick up, we’ll see the true impact of the value reset, prompting re-margining, recapitalizations or dispositions across the board. With investor liquidity constrained and borrowers under pressure, we expect a rise in structured equity solutions and accelerated asset sales, especially if employment softens and fundamentals weaken.”
Michael Ritz, Executive Vice President, Investments
“We’re operating in a higher-for-longer rate environment, but deals are still getting done—and the dislocation we're seeing now is creating actionable opportunities rather than road blocks. Broken capital stacks, rising distress, and general uncertainty are revealing compelling entry points for preferred equity and rescue capital, where we can participate in upside while preserving downside protection. At Peachtree, we thrive in moments like this—our creative structuring and execution strength allow us to play offense while others wait for clarity.”
Michael Bernath, Senior Vice President, Acquisitions & Dispositions
“Over the next 12 to 18 months, investors will find compelling opportunities to generate attractive, non-correlated alpha through private credit and special situations. Peachtree is actively capitalizing on market dislocation and mispriced risk with strategic, nimble allocations across the capital stack. This environment allows us to play selective offense and deliver strong performance for our LPs.
Daniel Savage, Senior Vice President, Investments & Strategy
“Capital markets volatility, especially in the CMBS and CRE CLO space, creates a unique advantage for lenders like Peachtree that do not rely on securitized executions. As banks are pressured to offload sub-performing loans, we see strong opportunities in the $20–75 million loan range, mainly through deeper stretch senior structures. We remain optimistic about exiting pre-COVID investments and expanding strategies that capitalize on today’s pricing dislocation and policy-driven market shifts.”
Jeremy Stoler, Executive Vice President, Debt Capital Markets
“Market dislocation will drive meaningful opportunities for Peachtree, particularly as refinancing challenges and reduced liquidity sideline many market participants. Sectors like hospitality, multifamily and land remain attractive, especially where bridge and construction lending can solve capital stack gaps. With fewer players in the space and distress beginning to surface, we’re well positioned to deploy capital where others can’t or won’t.”
Jared Schlosser, Executive Vice President, Hotel Originations and Head of CPACE
“Commercial real estate is navigating a uniquely complex moment, shaped by macro pressures like tariffs, inflation and geopolitical fragmentation, and micro realities such as capital expenditure burdens, labor inflation and localized demand shifts. In hotels where reinvestment is non-negotiable and operating costs are rising, the ability to underwrite location, efficiency and adaptive revenue strategies is critical. Today’s dislocation lies in broken capital stacks with unfinished developments, over-leveraged deals, and liquidity-starved sponsors, which are offering compelling opportunities for well-positioned credit investors who can move with precision and discipline.”
Sameer Nair, Senior Vice President, Equity Asset Management
“Uncertainty is sidelining many investors, but that’s precisely where opportunity emerges. We see the most actionable dislocation in debt today, with equity and preferred equity likely to follow. Bridge lending remains compelling, but flexibility across the capital stack is key. While others pause, we’re leaning into select development, knowing today’s starts will be tomorrow’s top assets. Peachtree has grown the most during disruption, and we believe this next cycle will be no different.”
Brian Waldman, Chief Investment Officer
相关 帖子
“延伸并假装” ——正如哈姆雷特曾问过的一句名言:“要么成为,要么不成为”,我们也正处于关键启示的边缘。我们是否面临着利率持续上升的巨大转变,这是一个基本上被忽视的问题?从短期和长期来看,这种转变将如何影响商业房地产和其他资产类别?公共和私营部门是否为看似不可避免的事情做好了准备?今天,我们面临的问题多于答案,在更高的利率环境中,犹豫不决已不再可行。
与过去几次衰退(例如COVID、全球金融危机和互联网泡沫破裂)不同,由于利息成本极低,美联储大幅降低了利率,使商业地产所有者和贷款人即使在现金流为负数或微薄的情况下也能轻松参与 “延期和假装”。
今天,我们正处于商业房地产衰退之中,没有减弱的迹象。在强劲的就业市场的推动下,经济拥有相当强劲的实力,创纪录的流动性处于观望状态。我认为没有必要的催化剂可以将利率恢复到前几个周期的水平。因此,我不认为 “延期和假装” 是一种有效的策略,它会为更多的破产、丧失抵押品赎回权和强制出售做准备,因为我们处于新的利率模式中,或者可能只是恢复常态,不幸的是,这将对价值观,尤其是对较低市值利率的资产造成破坏。归根结底,在任何市场混乱中,对于那些具有决定性和流动性的人来说,将有关键的机会在正确的时机抓住这些机会。
这篇评论最初出现在 格雷格·弗里德曼的领英页面 2024 年 5 月 1 日,回应 《华尔街日报》 文章标题为: 即使美联储削减利率,超低利率的时代也结束了。
零售融资格局:Peachtree首席执行官权衡
在专注于酒店业多年之后,Peachtree最近将其投资策略扩展到其他资产类别,从桃树酒店集团过渡到桃树集团。这家私募股权投资者和贷款机构及其贷款部门Stonehill现在活跃于所有房地产领域,包括零售业。由于经历了多次变化,零售业在过去几年一直是头条新闻。商业地产高管请Peachtree集团创始人兼首席执行官格雷格·弗里德曼谈谈投资者关注这种不断变化的资产类别的机遇和挑战。如今,随着零售商继续在美国各地开设店面和租赁空间,零售业似乎正在抵御通货膨胀压力。欲了解更多桃树集团首席执行官格雷格·弗里德曼的市场见解,请关注他 领英。
零售业在CRE市场低迷中大放异彩
在市场低迷的情况下,零售空间继续抵御通货膨胀压力。零售商似乎没有收到市场疲软的备忘录,而是准备继续在美国各地开设店面和租赁空间。这怎么可能?美国抵押贷款专业人士向商业房地产私募股权投资者兼贷款机构Peachtree Group的创始人兼首席执行官格雷格·弗里德曼寻求答案。