Schwab Network: 'New Game' with High-Interest Rates
Greg Friedman discussed on the Schwab network how the high rate environment is reshaping valuations and refinancing, with 90% of office vacancies concentrated in just 30% of buildings.
Crisis to Opportunity: This is How Experience and Infrastructure Create Alpha
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The commercial real estate market is experiencing its most significant transformation since the Great Financial Crisis, and for seasoned investors, the question isn't whether opportunities exist, it's whether you have the experience and infrastructure to capitalize on them. In the latest Peachtree Point of View episode, Managing Principal & CEO Greg Friedman, Managing Principal & CFO Jatin Desai, and President and Principal CRE, Daniel Siegel reveal how nearly two decades of strategic evolution has positioned Peachtree Group to thrive in today's dislocated market.
2007-2012: Building Through Crisis
When Peachtree Group launched in 2007 with just five team members, the timing couldn't have been more challenging or more instructive. The Great Financial Crisis (GFC) became the firm's first masterclass in identifying mispriced risk and executing complex transactions when others retreated. This foundational experience, from 2009 to 2011, of "dusting off the playbook" by providing rescue capital through hook notes and restructuring distressed assets established the operational framework that drives today's strategy.
"We've always been very much focused on mispriced risk," explains Friedman. "There's always going to be challenges and opportunities, but we're always looking for where is there that mispriced risk."
2012-2020: Strategic Infrastructure Development
The decade following the GFC saw Peachtree systematically build the infrastructure that now provides competitive advantages. The firm vertically integrated operations, bringing property management, loan servicing, construction management and their broker-dealer in-house by 2010. This wasn't just operational efficiency, it was strategic positioning for future market dislocations.
Most significantly, Peachtree began its heavy focus on private credit in 2014, recognizing the asset class as "very, very much mispriced" with substantial opportunities. While competitors are now rushing into private credit for the first time, Peachtree has 15 years of direct lending experience across 630+ credit transactions with a remarkable track record: only 2% of deals required asset takeback, with just a 0.17% loss rate on $2.3 billion in deployed credit capital.
2020-Present: Experience Meets Opportunity
Today's market validates every strategic decision made over the past 18 years. With over $1 trillion in commercial real estate loans maturing into a dramatically different interest rate environment, regional banks are facing the exact pressures Peachtree learned to navigate during the GFC.
The firm's growth trajectory tells the story: from five employees in 2007 to 100 in 2019, and now 300+ team members managing $4 billion in equity across $8 billion in total assets. But scale alone doesn't explain their current advantage; it's the operational sophistication built through multiple market cycles.
Executing Where Others Cannot
The current environment reveals why infrastructure matters more than capital. As Desai notes, "There's a lot of private credit outthere, but most of them have come to us because they can't originate. They don't have the infrastructure, they don't have the originators, underwriters, servicing in-house."
The Relationship Dividend
Eighteen years of market presence have created another competitive moat: deep bank relationships across 40+ financial institution counterparties. These relationships now provide access to off-market transactions as banks seek creative solutions to manage regulatory pressure around commercial real estate exposure.
"Banks are being very constructive, thoughtful and strategic about how they're trading paper," explains Siegel. "Most of. these have been off-market transactions, and we're sourcing them mostly internally through our existing bank relationships."
Strategic Investment Implications:
• Experience-driven opportunity recognition: Peachtree's GFC playbook from 2009-2011 is directly applicable to today's market, providing tested frameworks for special situations and rescue capital deployment
• Infrastructure as competitive advantage: 15 years ofprivate credit experience and vertically integrated operations enable executionwhere new market entrants fail to close deals they've underwritten
• Relationship-sourced deal flow: Deep banking relationships across 40+ institutions provide exclusive access to off-market transactions,creating sustainable competitive advantages
• Proven downside protection: Track record of 98% asset retention rate and 0.17% loss ratio on $2.3 billion in credit investments demonstrates risk management capabilities refined through multiple cycles
• Market timing validation: Current dislocation represents the type of "mispriced risk" opportunity that has driven Peachtree's strategy since inception, with 3+ year runway for deployment
The discussion reveals why this moment represents more than just another market opportunity. It's the convergence of two decades of strategic preparation with optimal market conditions.
For sophisticated investors evaluating how market history informs current opportunity, this episode provides rare insight into how institutional platforms leverage experience, relationships and infrastructure to generate alpha in dislocated markets.
Listen to the full Peachtree Point of View episode to hear detailed examples of how decades of market experience translate into current deal execution and investment strategy. Follow Peachtree Point of View on your preferred podcast platform for ongoing insights into institutional-quality real estate investment approaches.
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Schwab Network – Greg Friedman joins Nicole Petallides at the NYSE site with a deep-dive into the high rate environment facing investors right now. When looking at the 10-year Treasury rate which is "more than double pre-2022 average," Greg believes its reshaping valuations and refinancing dynamics. In the real estate realm, he sees uneven performance saying "90% of office vacancies are in just 30% of office buildings."
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CNBC: Fed Rate Cuts: A Game-Changer for Commercial Real Estate Investors or a Head Fake?
Peachtree CEO Greg Friedman was on CNBC's Fast Money discussing the effect of the Fed's recent rate cuts on the Commercial Real Estate market.
The Federal Reserve's 50 basis points cut to the Fed funds rate in September has sparked fresh conversations about its impact on commercial real estate (CRE) investments. While there's optimism in some corners about a return to a lower rate environment, the bond market signals a different story, with long-term rates remaining high and inflation risks persisting. This is a good reminder that short-term rates, set by the Fed, and long-term rates, like the 10-yearTreasury, often move independently.
Today's higher rate environment reshapes the value fundamentals of CRE. The current 10-yearTreasury rate of around 4%—double the pre-2022 average—demands that CRE values recalibrate. Reports of a 20% drop in CRE values since 2022 peak levels require context; those valuations were rooted in a vastly different interest rate environment. Today’s scenario implies a slower growth trajectory, requiring investors to adapt to a "new game" of higher rates for longer.
Across CRE assets, different sectors respond to higher rates in distinct ways. Hotels, for example, benefit from solid demand as travel returns, while multifamily assets continue to show resilience despite refinancing pressures. Office assets, however, face significant stress due to both secular and rate-driven challenges.
Even as the Fed cuts rates, refinancing on previously low-rate debt presents ongoing challenges for CRE assets, especially those with upcoming maturity dates. Higher rates elevate the cost of debt and squeeze cash flows while impacting the overall asset valuations, placing additional stress.
Despite headwinds, the current environment offers unique opportunities to strategic, agile investors. While higher rates may drive down asset values, for those prepared to navigate today's market with moderate leverage and a forward-looking strategy, today's challenges can evolve into future tailwinds. As the Fed's recent moves signal a "higher for longer" era, CRE investors who adapt swiftly may find unprecedented opportunities, making this a prime moment for decisive action in commercial real estate.
See Peachtree Group’s CEO and Managing Principal, Greg Friedman discuss this topic on CNBC’s Fast Money.
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Avoid Political Noise When Investing: A Market Update with Larry Adam, Raymond James
Peachtree Group hosted Larry Adam the Chief Investment Officer of Raymond James for a recent Market Call. Larry talked about the importance of staying invested throughout political cycles like the upcoming US Presidential election.
In our recent market update call, we hear insights from Larry Adam the Chief Investment Officer of Raymond James, alongside Greg Friedman, Managing Principal & CEO of Peachtree Group and Daniel Savage, VP Equity Capital Markets of Peachtree Group. One of the standout moments from the discussion was an intriguing investment takeaway that highlights the importance of consistent investing over trying to time the market based on political cycles.
Investment Insights Through the Decades
Consider this: if you had invested $10,000 in the stock market starting in 1970 and only remained invested during Republican presidencies, your investment would have grown to approximately $133,000 by now. Conversely, if you had only stayed invested during Democratic presidencies, your portfolio would have soared to around $700,000.
Now, here’s where the numbers become even more compelling. If you had stayed fully invested in the market, regardless of which party was in power, that initial $10,000 would have appreciated to an impressive $1.6 million!
The Lesson: Stay the Course
Timing the market based on political affiliation has proven to be less effective than maintaining a consistent investment strategy. As Larry Adam pointed out, “It's more important to be in the market than trying to find the market. I think that's a critical lesson…”
The volatility that comes with political changes can tempt investors to pull back or make hasty decisions. However, history shows that those who remain patient and invested through all market conditions tend to reap the greatest rewards.
The key is to be in the market, not trying to outsmart it.
About Larry Adam
Larry Adam joined Raymond James in 2018 as Chief Investment Officer. With over thirty years of experience in the financial markets, Mr. Adam brings a wealth of knowledge and valuable insights on the markets and economy to advisors and clients. As CIO, Mr. Adam develops the firm’s CIO view, a cohesive and comprehensive macro outlook, using insights and perspectives from the firm’s strategists. Mr. Adam presents at numerous client events and is renowned for his ability to explain complex concepts to investors.
Mr. Adam provides advisors and clients with in-depth guidance regarding the markets, including weekly and monthly commentary and quarterly outlooks. In addition to serving as President of the Investment Strategy Committee, he also sits on the Global Wealth Solutions (GWS) Diversity & Inclusion Campus Recruitment Committee, the GWS Executive Council, and the Alternative and Structured Investments Product Approval Committee.
Prior to joining Raymond James, Mr. Adam held the dual roles of CIO of the Americas and Global Chief Investment Strategist for Deutsche Bank Private Wealth Management. He received a B.B.A. with a concentration in finance from Loyola University Maryland in 1991 and received a master’s degree in business with a concentration in finance from Loyola University Maryland in 1993. Mr. Adam is an adjunct professor at the Sellinger School of Business and Management at Loyola University, teaching classes in International Finance. He received the Chartered Financial Analyst designation in 1996, the Certified Investment Management® certification in 2001 and the Certified Financial Planner® designation in 2004. Mr. Adam is regularly featured on CNBC and Bloomberg and is frequently quoted in well-known publications such as the Wall Street Journal and Barron’s.