2025 Market Insights
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As we move deeper into 2025, the market remains defined by volatility, dislocation and uncertainty. At Peachtree Group, we don’t wait for clarity, we lead through complexity. Despite persistent interest rate headwinds and shifting investor dynamics, our senior leaders see not just challenges but opportunities to deploy capital with precision, creativity and discipline. Here they share candid insights on navigating this evolving landscape, uncovering value where others see risk and positioning Peachtree to emerge stronger on the other side of the cycle.

“The truth is, we’re not waiting for a storm—we’re already in it. In any storm, pain is inevitable, but suffering is optional. For the past several years, we’ve operated in a market shaped by disruption: historic rate hikes, geopolitical shocks and policy uncertainty. We had hoped that we would have seen the darkest moments already, but this cycle had other plans. We’re navigating headwinds in real time, positioning ourselves to endure and emerge stronger. The next six months will likely bring continued volatility with persistent inflation, higher-for-longer interest rates and fragmented capital markets. Still, within that turbulence, signals of clarity are beginning to emerge. As visibility returns, whether through promised tax reform, trade resolution or regulatory recalibration, so too will stability.Our approach is simple. We don’t ignore the storm; we prepare for it. We position our portfolio not to avoid pain but to minimize unnecessary suffering.We are beginning to see the light and are positioned to lead as it returns.”
Greg Friedman, Managing Principal and CEO
“As a team, we’ve successfully navigated downturns, market volatility and shifting political and economic landscapes. Each disruption has only strengthened our resilience and sharpened our edge. While others view unpredictability as discomfort, we see it as an opportunity. It is the space where we thrive, uncovering opportunities to deploy capital and generate exceptional returns.”
Jatin Desai, Managing Principal and CFO
“Volatility continues to define the CRE landscape, disrupting early signs of recovery and forcing a rethink for many market participants. At Peachtree, we remain focused on fundamentals such as location, sponsorship, basis and demand drivers, which tend to outperform through cycles.With traditional lenders pulling back, we are actively financing high quality assets at a premium yield and expect continued opportunity in refinances, loan purchases and situations where execution, not momentum, is what matters.”
Michael Harper, President, Hotel Lending
“The uncertainty of the next 12 months isn’t just about the horizon; it’s about the volatility we face week to week. As transactions pick up, we’ll see the true impact of the value reset, prompting re-margining, recapitalizations or dispositions across the board. With investor liquidity constrained and borrowers under pressure, we expect a rise in structured equity solutions and accelerated asset sales, especially if employment softens and fundamentals weaken.”
Michael Ritz, Executive Vice President, Investments
“We’re operating in a higher-for-longer rate environment, but deals are still getting done—and the dislocation we're seeing now is creating actionable opportunities rather than road blocks. Broken capital stacks, rising distress, and general uncertainty are revealing compelling entry points for preferred equity and rescue capital, where we can participate in upside while preserving downside protection. At Peachtree, we thrive in moments like this—our creative structuring and execution strength allow us to play offense while others wait for clarity.”
Michael Bernath, Senior Vice President, Acquisitions & Dispositions
“Over the next 12 to 18 months, investors will find compelling opportunities to generate attractive, non-correlated alpha through private credit and special situations. Peachtree is actively capitalizing on market dislocation and mispriced risk with strategic, nimble allocations across the capital stack. This environment allows us to play selective offense and deliver strong performance for our LPs.
Daniel Savage, Senior Vice President, Investments & Strategy
“Capital markets volatility, especially in the CMBS and CRE CLO space, creates a unique advantage for lenders like Peachtree that do not rely on securitized executions. As banks are pressured to offload sub-performing loans, we see strong opportunities in the $20–75 million loan range, mainly through deeper stretch senior structures. We remain optimistic about exiting pre-COVID investments and expanding strategies that capitalize on today’s pricing dislocation and policy-driven market shifts.”
Jeremy Stoler, Executive Vice President, Debt Capital Markets
“Market dislocation will drive meaningful opportunities for Peachtree, particularly as refinancing challenges and reduced liquidity sideline many market participants. Sectors like hospitality, multifamily and land remain attractive, especially where bridge and construction lending can solve capital stack gaps. With fewer players in the space and distress beginning to surface, we’re well positioned to deploy capital where others can’t or won’t.”
Jared Schlosser, Executive Vice President, Hotel Originations and Head of CPACE
“Commercial real estate is navigating a uniquely complex moment, shaped by macro pressures like tariffs, inflation and geopolitical fragmentation, and micro realities such as capital expenditure burdens, labor inflation and localized demand shifts. In hotels where reinvestment is non-negotiable and operating costs are rising, the ability to underwrite location, efficiency and adaptive revenue strategies is critical. Today’s dislocation lies in broken capital stacks with unfinished developments, over-leveraged deals, and liquidity-starved sponsors, which are offering compelling opportunities for well-positioned credit investors who can move with precision and discipline.”
Sameer Nair, Senior Vice President, Equity Asset Management
“Uncertainty is sidelining many investors, but that’s precisely where opportunity emerges. We see the most actionable dislocation in debt today, with equity and preferred equity likely to follow. Bridge lending remains compelling, but flexibility across the capital stack is key. While others pause, we’re leaning into select development, knowing today’s starts will be tomorrow’s top assets. Peachtree has grown the most during disruption, and we believe this next cycle will be no different.”
Brian Waldman, Chief Investment Officer
相关 帖子
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在最近的市场最新电话会议上,我们听取了雷蒙德·詹姆斯首席投资官拉里·亚当以及桃树集团董事总经理兼首席执行官格雷格·弗里德曼和桃树集团股票资本市场副总裁丹尼尔·萨维奇的见解。讨论中最引人注目的时刻之一是一篇有趣的投资要点,它强调了持续投资比试图根据政治周期把握市场时机的重要性。
几十年来的投资见解
考虑一下:如果你从1970年开始在股票市场上投资了1万美元,并且只在共和党总统任期内继续投资,那么到目前为止,你的投资将增长到大约13.3万美元。相反,如果你只在民主党总统任期内继续投资,你的投资组合将飙升至70万美元左右。
现在,这是数字变得更加引人注目的地方。如果你一直全力投资市场,无论哪个政党掌权,那么最初的1万美元都会升值到令人印象深刻的水平 160 万美元!
教训:坚持到底
事实证明,根据政治派别来安排市场时机不如维持一致的投资策略有效。正如拉里·亚当指出的那样, ”进入市场比尝试寻找市场更重要。我认为这是一个关键的教训...”

政治变革带来的波动性可能诱使投资者撤回或做出仓促的决定。但是,历史表明,那些在所有市场条件下保持耐心并进行投资的人往往会获得最大的回报。
关键是要进入市场,而不是试图智胜市场。

关于拉里·亚当

拉里·亚当于2018年加入雷蒙德·詹姆斯担任首席投资官。亚当先生在金融市场拥有三十多年的经验,为顾问和客户带来了有关市场和经济的丰富知识和宝贵见解。作为首席信息官,亚当先生利用公司战略家的见解和观点,发展公司的首席信息官观点,即凝聚力和全面的宏观展望。亚当先生在众多客户活动中发表演讲,并以其向投资者解释复杂概念的能力而闻名。
亚当先生为顾问和客户提供有关市场的深入指导,包括每周和每月的评论以及季度展望。除了担任投资战略委员会主席外,他还是全球财富解决方案(GWS)多元化与包容性校园招聘委员会、GWS执行委员会以及另类和结构性投资产品批准委员会的成员。
在加入雷蒙德·詹姆斯之前,亚当先生曾担任德意志银行私人财富管理美洲首席信息官和全球首席投资策略师的双重职务。他于 1991 年获得马里兰洛约拉大学金融专业工商管理学士学位,并于 1993 年获得马里兰洛约拉大学金融专业的商学硕士学位。亚当先生是洛约拉大学塞林格商业与管理学院的兼职教授,教授国际金融课程。他于1996年获得特许金融分析师称号,于2001年获得注册投资管理® 认证,并于2004年获得注册财务规划师® 称号。亚当先生经常出现在CNBC和彭博社上,并经常被知名出版物引用,例如 《华尔街日报》 和 《巴伦周刊》。
巴伦周刊:美联储的降息不会拯救商业地产

桃树集团首席执行官格雷格·弗里德曼最近为巴伦周刊写了一篇文章- “软着陆意味着商业地产的艰难下跌。”
在文章中,他探讨了美联储最近降息背景下商业房地产行业面临的挑战。随着1.5万亿美元的CRE贷款即将到期,再融资变得越来越昂贵,格雷格概述了投资者的战略机遇,包括资本堆栈的重新定位、私人信贷解决方案和不良资产收购。
随着市场适应更高的借贷成本,对于希望在商业房地产领域保持领先地位的人来说,这是一本必读的书。 点击此处阅读《巴伦周刊》的完整文章。