Bloomberg TV - Greg Friedman, CEO of Peachtree Group, discussed the potential impact of the Fed's expected 25 basis point rate cut on commercial real estate. He noted that the 10-year treasury rate, currently at 4%, is already high, impacting commercial real estate values. Friedman expects the terminal rate to be around 2.75%, supporting the 10-year rate. He highlighted the stress from maturing loans, with $1 trillion due in the next year, and the opportunity for investors. Friedman also mentioned the thin risk premium spreads in commercial real estate, with multifamily assets trading at 5% cap rates. He emphasized the importance of credit investments over equity due to better risk-adjusted returns and the continued relevance of clean energy financing in commercial real estate.
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2023 was a year marred by obstacles for borrowing across commercial real estate, particularly after a widespread crisis shook regional banks that are historically the biggest lenders in the space. Peachtree CEO Greg Friedman spoke with Hotel News Now about his prediction for 2024.
Insights Into the Lending Environment From Peachtree's Greg Friedman (costar.com)
Lending Conditions Likely More Certain for Hotels in 2024
Peachtree CEO Greg Friedman was quoted in this recent CoStar Group article by Sean McCracken talking about the lending environment for hotels in 2024 and the opportunities for investor, operator, lenders like Peachtree Group.
"Most traditional lenders aren't lending," said Friedman. "Forty percent of the debt market is traditionally made up of regional banks, community banks, national banks, and it's been in the press that banks are under pressure. So 40% of the market is struggling, the CMBS market makes up close to 25% to 30% of lending to hotels and that market is well under pressure, as well."But he said what is left of the market is attracted to hotels due to "really good asset-level performance."
Lending Conditions Likely More Certain for Hotels in 2024 (costar.com)
U.S. Hotel Lending Likely to Get More Challenging
Ester Hertzfeld with Hotel Management Magazine spoke with Peachtree SVP Jared Schlosser about the hotel lending market in her most recent article.