The Great Reset of Property Prices Is Underway. Brace for More.
The global financial crisis that began in 2007 reshaped the real estate market. Today, commercial real estate is facing a similar “Great Reset.”
There is a record amount of debt maturities in 2024 at close to $1T, and another $1T over the next two years, notes Greg Friedman CEO Peachtree Group.
In this interview with Schwab Nework, he discusses commercial real estate and how the market is still pricing in 50BPS of cuts between now and the end of the year, and its increasingly looking like faith rather than “data driven.”
Watch the full interview here.
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The global financial crisis that began in 2007 reshaped the real estate market. Today, commercial real estate is facing a similar “Great Reset.” Property valuations are resetting, capital availability is restricted, and investment activity is curtailed. Thanks to stress on properties’ balance sheets, the situation is set to get worse. More than $1.5 trillion of commercial real estate loans will mature over the next three years. Traditional lenders and the securitization market are unlikely to provide a clear path to replacing these loans. Without one, property valuations will reset further and reprice at levels that reflect current economic conditions. Basically, investors need to prepare for further losses. For more market insights from Peachtree Group CEO Greg Friedman, follow him on LinkedIn.
Peachtree's Greg Friedman: Office real estate distress
Peachtree Group CEO Greg Friedman discusses whether there is an imminent commercial real estate disaster on 'The Claman Countdown.'
Peachtree Group CEO Greg Friedman discusses whether there is an imminent commercial real estate disaster on 'The Claman Countdown.'