Safe Harbor in Choppy Waters: Hotels Resilient in Volatile Market

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The hotel industry has had a remarkable recovery in the post-COVID era, marked by strong fundamentals, limited supply and increased capital inflows, making it an attractive investment option.

Peachtree Group CEO Greg Friedman sat down with Bryan Younge, executive vice president at Newmark to discuss this remarkable recover and where the market is today. Bryan heads the hospitality practice group at Newmark and is a leading commercial real estate advisor. Below is a recap of his expert analysis and insights.

Listen to Peachtree's discussion with Bryan Younge, EVP Newmark here.

 

Hotel Industry Comeback

The industry witnessed an unprecedented come back after the pandemic. 

 

Limited New Hotel Supply: Limited new hotel supply coinciding with high travel demand creates a favorable scenario for the existing hotel inventory to capitalize on the surging interest.

 

Investment Attractiveness: The hotel sector's resilience has increased its appeal as an investment vehicle, offering substantial returns. This is reflected in the significant capital and dry powder ready for investment in this sector.

 

Macro Challenges: Despite its success, the industry faces challenges like staffing shortages, wage growth and inflation.

 

Hotel Performance – Segment: Closely examined the performance across various segments of the hotel industry, including commercial, group, leisure, and extended stay, as well as different distribution channels. These channels are crucial for predicting occupancy trends and Average Daily Rate (ADR), especially in the current volatile inflationary environment.

 

Key observations include:

  • The group segment, crucial for hotel revenue, experienced a significant decline during the pandemic but has recently fully recovered.
  • Other segments, like online travel agents (OTAs) and FIT (Foreign Independent Travel) and wholesale channel, outperformed group and global distribution     systems (GDS) in terms of recovery.
  • The FIT and wholesale channel had a substantial initial setback but rebounded strongly in spring 2022, reaching levels 70% higher than in 2019.
  • Seasonality patterns, resembling a heartbeat monitor, show three demand spikes in mid-spring, summer, and October, indicating a return to normalcy and     balanced pricing strategies.
  • Overall, the analysis suggests that while larger hotels faced challenges during the pandemic, smaller hotels remained more resilient due to less reliance on group bookings and other factors. 
  • The current trends indicate a recovery and adaptation in the hotel industry's various segments.

 

Predictive Analysis: Discussed methods for predicting future pricing trends in the hotel industry, including analyzing room rates and booking adjustments, the personal savings rate and its impact on the travel sector, and the performance of different hotel market segments and their recovery post-pandemic.

 

Transaction Market: An equilibrium is emerging in the transaction market, with buyers and sellers reaching common ground and avoiding distressed pricing. This indicates a healthy market with growth potential and abundant opportunities. 

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5 Proven Tips for Securing Funding in a Turbulent Market

It's a tough market. But we've been here before. Peachtree President and Principal CRE Daniel Siegel shares insights garnered by our team after completing hundreds of transactions worth north of $15 billion. Need capital, but not sure how to do it - read on for Daniel's time-tested tips.

Statista estimates the value of the commercial real estate market will reach $24.67 trillion in 2023. According to the Deloitte Center for Financial Services 2024 industry outlook, half the industry expects the cost of capital and capital availability to worsen through next year. Couple that with the $1.5 trillion wall of debt maturing before the end of 2025 and it’s easy to understand the trepidation in the market today.

But we’ve been here before.

The credit team at Peachtree Group has completed hundreds of transactions worth north of $15 billion. In our collective careers, we have seen borrowers navigate unstable markets, such as what we are experiencing today, in a variety of different ways.

Here are five tips for borrowers trying to navigate today’s difficult market, and secure funding for their project.

Acknowledging your Situation

It has been a borrower’s market for several years now, and this is not one of them. Do not forsake the term sheet in your hand – the Fed has raised interest rates 11 times since March of 2022. Spending too much time on turns of a term sheet might leave you losing any spread concessions to increases in the benchmark or, even worse – lenders deciding to pull terms altogether. If you have an offer from someone you trust, you might want to take it.

Grass Isn't Always Greener

On existing projects, your current lender is most likely your best friend. A lender willing to give you an extension is gold in this market. Getting additional terms out of your current lender is likely the least costly option, even if it comes with fees and a rate increase – it likely is still significantly less costly than what the current market will give you. However, I hope that you have been a good borrower – up to date on deliverables, communicative about the status of your project, etc. – make no mistake, the bank is doing you a favor, don't give credit committee a reason to say no.

Have you Considered CPACE

Being one of the largest CPACE originators in the country, Peachtree has seen a significant increase in pipeline looking to apply proceeds retroactively.  Properties are eligible for CPACE up to 3 years after certificate of occupancy in approved municipalities and proceeds can generally be up to 35% of stabilized value.  It’s a source of capital that has become more interesting to first mortgage lenders as the proceeds could be used to paydown your first mortgage and size a new interest reserve.

Try to Pay for your Overages and Carry Upfront

We pride ourselves on being lenders who want to be part of the solution when a deal has a budget bust or stabilization is taking longer than anticipated. However, I always encourage borrowers to size up their budget contingencies (i.e., 7% vs. 5%) or structure additional interest reserves. Yes, it will increase your initial capitalization, but your lender will pick up 60-70% of that cost in the loan funding. It may mean more work on the initial capital raise, but it's usually less costly than going back to your lender and/or equity mid-project to get additional capital.

Communication, Honesty and Transparency are Key

Lenders have access to data and information. They ultimately will discover the truth; it might as well come from you. This includes prior credit aberrations or issues and accurate property performance information. We have capital specifically for lending on special situations – there are a lot of deal-level risks that can be mitigated, but lack of trust with sponsorship is not one of them.

In uncertain times, hope for the best but prepare for the worst. Peachtree is an experienced capital partner who understands commercial real estate's nuances. With funding options limited from traditional lenders, our team has the lending solutions, financial capacity, and expertise to close complex transactions in today's challenging capital market environment.

We are available to discuss your lending options that meet your business objectives. Visit us at www.peachtreegroup.com.

Daniel Siegel is president and principal of Peachtree's commercial real estate lending group.

Before joining Peachtree, he was with Ardent Companies as managing director and the head of high-yield investments leading the company’s debt investments. Prior to that, Daniel was vice president of acquisitions at Rialto Capital, overseeing the distressed loan acquisitions platform. During his tenure at Rialto, Daniel directly oversaw the acquisition of commercial real estate loans on domestic and international opportunities. Additionally, he developed the firm’s small balance loan acquisition platform and led the company’s first European acquisition.

Daniel has a bachelor’s degree in finance from Tulane University. Contact him at dsiegel@peachtreegroup.com.

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Reviving Malls: Shifting Perspectives on Retail's Potential

Is mall still a four letter word? Retail, including malls is experiencing strong leasing momentum, but to be successful, retail investors need to consider these tips.

In today’s highly competitive and constantly evolving real estate market, sponsors of retail commercial properties need a reliable financial partner to help them navigate the complexities of this space. There is a perception that capital is non-existent for this sector, but that couldn’t be further from the truth. Peachtree Group Credit has emerged as an industry leader – ranking as the 16thlargest U.S. commercial real estate retail lender ranking as the 16th largest U.S. commercial real estate retail lender – providing creative financing solutions to help clients realize their vision for maximizing return on investment.

The fact is retail, including malls, is experiencing strong leasing momentum with increased foot traffic allowing sponsors to stabilize cash flow levels, which took a hit during the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic. Brick-and-mortar retail locations are a necessary and growing component of a retailer’s multi-channel strategy. While traditional retail struggled before COVID, the pandemic has brought greater appreciation for in-store experiences for certain shopping items. This trend bodes well for retail as an investment.

To remain competitive, retail investors must accelerate their plans and expand their thinking to find ways to keep their retail locations relevant in a changing landscape.

Retail investors are looking at this sector with compelling strategies, including reimagining portions of the property to bring in new tenants, densifying the property by spinning off excess parking into pad sites or value-add components with a plan for re-leasing and some potential redevelopment opportunities.

Peachtree provides needed liquidity for maturing loans, new acquisitions and construction projects.

Some of the recent coast-to-coast mall transactions completed, include:

  • Bellis Fair Mall – Originating a$24.0 million first mortgage loan for the 774,264 square-foot shopping mall in Bellingham, Washington.
  • Cumberland Mall – Originating a$28.8 million first mortgage loan for the 953,313 square-foot shopping mall in Vineland, New Jersey.
  • Greenwood Mall – Originating a$42.3 million first mortgage loan for the 970,523 square-foot shopping mall in Bowling Green, Kentucky.
  • The Mall at Robinson – Originating a$25.5 million first mortgage loan for the 874,000 square-foot shopping mall in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
  • TownCenter at Cobb – Originating a $42.0million first mortgage for a 1,200,000 square-foot shopping mall in Kennesaw, GA
  • Fairlane Town Center – Originating a $28.0million first mortgage for a 1,450,000 square foot shopping mall in Dearborn, MI

Peachtree actively collaborates with sponsors from the initial concept stage until closing, offering expedited financing explicitly tailored for their business, allowing all parties to achieve a best-in-class financial outcome. Throughout the process, Peachtree keeps up regular touchpoints, ensuring the transactions go smoothly. This further demonstrates Stonehill’s commitment to supporting sponsor capital strategies with execution certainty amid a highly unpredictable funding landscape, increasingly a critical variable impacting retail real estate acquisition competition outcomes.

Having access to an experienced lender can provide valuable expertise and guidance to help you with your investment. With specific retail knowledge, Peachtree can provide insights into effective strategies for success. At Peachtree, we have the expertise to guide you through your options.

 

Greg Koenig is a senior vice president at Peachtree Group Credit. Before joining Peachtree, he was an executive director at A large private equity firm, focusing on debt originations in all asset classes. Prior to that, Greg was a senior vice president at Newport RE, a German-based real estate investment company, focusing on acquisitions and asset management for its U.S. portfolio. Previously, he was a vice president at Rialto Capital, where he helped underwrite and asset-manage loan portfolios. Before joining Rialto, Greg worked at TriMont Real Estate Advisors facilitating loan workouts and maximizing returns on distressed assets. Greg holds a bachelor’s degree from the University of Connecticut, where he majored in Real Estate and UrbanEconomics.

Contact Greg at gkoenig@peachtreegroup.com or 1-860-833-2285.

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Foster Affordable Housing with Adaptive Reuse Financing

As cities grapple with limited resources and urban revitalization, one innovative approach gaining traction is adaptive reuse. By repurposing existing structures, such as warehouses, factories and office buildings, adaptive reuse offers a sustainable solution to create affordable housing. However, financing these projects can pose a significant challenge.

As cities grapple with limited resources and urban revitalization, one innovative approach gaining traction is adaptive reuse. By repurposing existing structures, such as warehouses, factories and office buildings, adaptive reuse offers a sustainable solution to create affordable housing. However, financing these projects can pose a significant challenge.

The priority of financing an adaptive reuse project is finding an experienced lender, which will increase the chances of a smooth funding process.

The challenges and risks associated with repurposing existing structures can make traditional lenders hesitant to provide financing. In such cases, alternative lenders like, who specializes in adaptive reuse and has a track record of working with these projects, can be a valuable resource.

Stonehill has a deep understanding of the unique considerations involved in adaptive reuse, such as the complexities of assessing the property’s value, estimating renovation costs, and managing potential environmental or structural issues. As a result, Stonehill is usually more willing to provide flexible terms and agreements to accommodate the specific needs and challenges of adaptive reuse projects.

Hotel to Multi-family Conversion Case Study

Stonehill recently financed $11 million for the conversion of a former 195-key conference hotel into 195 affordable studio apartment units. The hotel’s conference space was transitioned to resident amenities including a fitness center, common laundry facilities, lounge areas, large outdoor courtyard and co-working space.

In addition to the sponsor’s experience in workforce housing, the business plan was attractive to Stonehill because of the strong traditional apartment market and demonstrated population growth in the area. And, once complete, the development offers new apartment product at affordable rents for the market.

Benefits of Adaptive Reuse for Affordable Housing

Adaptive reuse provides various benefits, making it an attractive option for affordable housing development.

  • Cost-effectiveness: Repurposing existing buildings for affordable housing can significantly reduce development costs compared to constructing new buildings. Existing structures often have solid foundations, basic infrastructure and utilities in place, which can save both time and money during the renovation process. This cost-effectiveness makes adaptive reuse an attractive option for affordable housing initiatives, as it maximizes available resources.
  • Preservation of heritage: Adaptive reuse projects offer the opportunity to preserve and celebrate a city’s architectural heritage and historic landmarks. By repurposing buildings with historical significance, communities can retain their cultural identity and architectural character while addressing the pressing need for affordable housing. This approach promotes a sense of pride, connects residents with their city’s history, and contributes to the overall cultural fabric of the community.
  • Sustainable solution: Utilizing existing structures through adaptive reuse aligns with sustainable development goals. It reduces the demand for new construction, which requires additional resources, energy, and land. Adaptive reuse minimizes waste generation and environmental impact associated with demolition and new construction by repurposing and renovating existing buildings. This approach promotes resource efficiency and contributes to the overall sustainability of urban development.
  • Revitalization of neighborhoods: Converting vacant or underutilized buildings into affordable housing has the potential to revitalize neighborhoods. Adaptive reuse projects can attract residents, businesses, and investments to previously neglected areas by breathing new life into these spaces. This revitalization enhances economic growth, improves community aesthetics, and fosters a sense of pride and ownership among residents. It also supports community development by providing affordable housing options and improving the overall quality of life in the neighborhood.

Considering these benefits, adaptive reuse is a multifaceted approach that addresses the affordable housing crisis and promotes sustainability, heritage preservation and community revitalization. It is an innovative solution that leverages existing resources to create positive social and environmental impacts in urban areas.

Working with Peachtree Group in financing adaptive reuse into affordable housing can increase the chances of securing the necessary funding, navigating the process’s complexities, and ensuring a higher likelihood of project success. Contact me today to discuss your project dsiegel@peachtreegroup.com.

Daniel Siegel is principal and president of Peachtree’s commercial real estate lending group overseeing the group’s expansion into commercial real estate lending. Before joining Peachtree, he was managing director at a large private equity firm and the head of high-yield investments. Prior to joining that firm, Siegel was vice president of acquisitions at Rialto Capital, overseeing the distressed loan acquisitions platform. During his tenure at Rialto, Siegel directly oversaw the acquisition of commercial real estate loans on both domestic and international opportunities. Additionally, he developed the firm’s small balance loan acquisition platform and led the company’s first European acquisition. Siegel has a bachelor’s degree in finance from Tulane University.

Contact Daniel at dsiegel@peachtreegroup.com.