Oportunidades de inversión hotelera: navegando por el dislocado mercado actual

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El panorama de la inversión hotelera está experimentando una dislocación sin precedentes, lo que crea oportunidades únicas para los inversores inmobiliarios comerciales inteligentes. En un episodio reciente de Peachtree Point of View, Greg Friedman conversó con Bennett Webster, director y fundador de Alchemy Real Estate Advisors, para analizar cómo están evolucionando las estrategias de inversión hotelera en este turbulento entorno de mercado.

Mercado actual de inversiones hoteleras: las dificultades crean oportunidades

El mercado actual de inversiones hoteleras se caracteriza por dificultades significativas, pero esta dislocación está creando oportunidades sin precedentes. La firma de Webster ha cerrado 21 transacciones en menos de un año y otras 19 bajo contrato, lo que demuestra la naturaleza activa del sector de la inversión hotelera, que se encuentra en dificultades. «No hay escasez de oportunidades», señala Webster, mencionando desde la venta de billetes en Manhattan hasta la venta de bonos en Seattle.

La angustia no se limita a las ejecuciones hipotecarias tradicionales. Muchos propietarios de inversiones hoteleras se enfrentan a salidas obligatorias debido a los requisitos de renovación de la marca, a las presiones de los socios de capital o a los plazos de inversión tardíos, lo que crea una sólida cartera de vendedores motivados.

Tendencias de las transacciones de inversión hotelera: siga el dinero inteligente

Los datos del mercado revelan tendencias de inversión hotelera convincentes: aproximadamente el 50% del volumen de transacciones hoteleras en el primer semestre de 2024 involucró propiedades de menos de 50 millones de dólares, y la mayoría de las operaciones probablemente por debajo de los 25 millones de dólares. Estas oportunidades de inversión en hoteles más pequeños mantienen una sólida liquidez e integridad de precios, y a menudo se venden con un apalancamiento negativo a compradores regionales que se centran en la creación de valor operativo.

Curiosamente, los mercados que antes estaban en dificultades están atrayendo un renovado interés por la inversión hotelera. Como observa Webster, «he observado más actividad alcista y más sentimiento alcista en San Francisco en las últimas dos semanas que en los últimos dos años». Este cambio sugiere que el capital invertido en hoteles para pacientes pacientes está comenzando a identificar oportunidades para pescar en los fondos marinos en mercados que antes eran difíciles.

Enfoques estratégicos de inversión hotelera

Una inversión hotelera exitosa en el mercado actual requiere un enfoque refinado. Webster recomienda tres estrategias clave de inversión hotelera:

La diversificación impulsa el éxito de la inversión hotelera. Diríjase a los mercados en los que tenga escala operativa y relaciones con prestamistas establecidas. En lugar de concentrar el capital en un único activo principal, múltiples oportunidades de inversión en hoteles más pequeños pueden proporcionar una rentabilidad superior ajustada al riesgo.

La financiación creativa mejora la rentabilidad de las inversiones hoteleras. Con la financiación tradicional limitada, los compradores de inversiones hoteleras exitosas están aprovechando las hipótesis de préstamos de CMBS, negociando períodos de solo interés durante la estabilización y estructurando acuerdos que aborden los requisitos de liquidez de los compradores y vendedores.

La visión a largo plazo maximiza el valor de la inversión hotelera. Como subraya Webster, «la estructura de capital es temporal, pero el precio de compra es permanente». Para los profesionales de la inversión hotelera comprometidos y con capacidad operativa, la actual dislocación de precios presenta oportunidades de compra generacionales, a pesar del aumento temporal de los costos de financiación.

Catalizadores de la inversión hotelera: el factor de renovación

Un catalizador fundamental que impulsa las actuales oportunidades de inversión hotelera es el mantenimiento diferido y las renovaciones exigidas por la marca. Muchos propietarios de inversiones hoteleras que retrasaron las mejoras de capital durante la COVID se enfrentan ahora a ultimátums por parte de las marcas hoteleras: renovar o perder la bandera. Esta dinámica crea situaciones de venta forzosa que benefician a los compradores de inversiones hoteleras bien capitalizados que están dispuestos a comprometer el capital necesario para mejorar sus propiedades.

El entorno actual de inversión hotelera favorece en gran medida a los inversores pacientes y bien capitalizados que pueden actuar con decisión cuando surgen oportunidades. Para aquellos que están en condiciones de ejecutar, el dislocado mercado actual de inversiones hoteleras ofrece puntos de entrada atractivos que tal vez no existan una vez que los mercados de capital se normalicen y la competencia se intensifique.

¿Está listo para explorar estrategias avanzadas de inversión hotelera y perspectivas de mercado? Escuche el episodio completo del podcast Peachtree Point of View, que presenta el análisis completo de Bennett Webster sobre las oportunidades de inversión hotelera y la dinámica del mercado actuales.

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