이번 주 초 CPI 보고서에서는 예상보다 높은 PPIPI를 받을 수 있는 미국 인플레이션이 올해 첫 선을 보였습니다. 신뢰를 얻기 위해 추가 경제지표가 필요할 것 같습니다.
오늘날의 장기간의 높은 금리는 경기 활동을 하고 경기 침체의 위험을 초래하고 있습니다.상업용 부동산 업계에서는 이미 경기 침체에 빠져 있기 때문에 시간이 관건입니다.올해 금리 인하 전망은 희미합니다.
이러한 지속적인 인플레이션은 특히 수조 달러의 부채가 만기되는 상업용 부동산 부문에 큰 어려움을 겪고 있습니다.인플레이션 상승으로 차입 비용이 증가하고 현금 흐름이 감소하며 부동산 가치 평가에도 영향을 미쳤습니다.
#현금 흐름에 대한 부채가 소유기따라 훨씬 더 높은 금리로 리파이낸싱에 눈을 뜨게 하고, 이로 인해 부채 상환 비용이 증가하고 수익성이 저하됩니다.현금 흐름에 대한 이러한 부담은 비용 증가 및 수입 감소와 맞물려 악순환을 초래합니다.차입 비용 상승에 따라 캐리어 구조 구조, 불이무, 투자자들은 더 높은 수익을 올릴 수 있습니다. 이러한 하락 추세로 금융 제약을 강화합니다. 행 및 시장 불안정 위험을 초래하므로 즉각적인 주의가 필요한 상황입니다.
연준이 새로운 경제적 도전을 촉발하지 않으면서 대규모 붕괴 전에 우리를 이 소용돌이에서 벗어나게 할 수 있을까?
앞으로 나아가려면 경제 데이터를 기반으로 한 통화정책 조정과 취약 부문을 위한 보다 표적화된 재정 개입이 필요할 수 있습니다.
돈이 어디로 향하든 저는 앞으로 펼쳐질 기회에 대해 열광하고, 우리 팀은 도전에 할 수 있는 만반의 준비를 갖추고 있습니다.
이 코멘트는 원래 에 실렸습니다. 그렉 프리드먼의 링크드인 페이지 이에 대한 응답으로 2024년 5월 19일에 글로브스트리트 기사 제목: 연준이 금리를 따라 이러한 경기 침체 신호를 주시하십시오.
관련 게시물

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Institutional Real Estate – In an era where stubborn inflation keeps central bankers awake at night and rate volatility tests investor discipline, smart capital is quietly gravitating to assets that can flex, literally overnight. Hotels, with their daily lease resets, are one of the few real estate plays with a built-in inflation defense. But not all hotels are created equal. For investors looking to put capital to work today, premium-branded select-service and compact full-service hotels stand out as some of the most reliable performers across economic cycles, including inflationary periods.
Short Leases, Big Advantage
Unlike offices or retail, where lease terms can lock in rates for years, hotels are designed to be nimble. Operators adjust room rates daily, matching market demand and passing through cost increases with far less lag than other real estate types. During the inflationary surges of the 1970s and early 1980s, room rates in the United States climbed almost in lockstep with the Consumer Price Index. More recently, ADRs rose rapidly during the inflation spike of 2021–2023, especially in well-positioned premium brands. Yet flexibility alone is not enough. Demand elasticity still matters. Not every guest will pay more just because costs are higher. This is where premium select-service and compact full-service assets show their edge.
Why This Segment Holds Up
Hotels at the upper end of the select-service spectrum, including Marriott’s Courtyard and AC Hotels, Hilton’s Hampton Inn and Hilton Garden Inn, and IHG’s Hotel Indigo and Crowne Plaza, strike the balance travelers want: elevated comfort and amenities without full-service prices. They cater to travelers who want quality and consistency without paying for frills they do not use. Business travelers, sports teams and mid-tier corporate groups typically make up the core customer base. This gives owners both repeatability and rate integrity. Compact full-service properties, especially those under strong flags in good urban or suburban nodes, also shine here. They deliver enough amenities, such as an on-site restaurant, meeting space and a bar, to justify a healthy rate premium while keeping operating costs leaner than those of sprawling resorts or luxury assets.
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Peachtree Group Appoints Lindsay Monge as Executive Vice President, Asset Management
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ATLANTA (Oct. 15, 2025) – Peachtree Group (“Peachtree”), a leading commercial real estate investment firm overseeing a diversified portfolio of more than $8 billion, today announced the appointment of Lindsay Monge as executive vice president of asset management. In this role, Monge will oversee the firm’s hospitality and real estate assets, driving performance, strategic planning and value creation across the portfolio.
Monge brings more than two decades of leadership experience in hospitality, real estate investment and operations to Peachtree. Most recently, he served as president of Seaview Investors where he led asset management and daily operations for a portfolio of eight Marriott and Hilton-branded upscale hotels in California. Before this, he spent nearly 16 years at Sunstone Hotel Investors, rising to senior vice president, chief administrative officer, secretary and treasurer, where he oversaw corporate functions and played a pivotal role in managing a $3.9 billion asset base.
“Lindsay’s extensive background leading hotel operations and real estate investment platforms makes him an invaluable addition to our leadership team,” said Greg Friedman, managing principal and CEO of Peachtree. “His experience across public REITs, private equity and owner-operator platforms uniquely positions him to enhance value creation for our investors while strengthening our asset management capabilities.”
His career also includes senior leadership roles at Magna Flow as chief operating officer and at Alpha Wave Investors as chief administrative officer and partner where he directed strategic planning, growth initiatives and asset repositioning strategies. Earlier in his career, Monge held management positions at The Westgate Hotel and began his hospitality career in Hilton’s executive management program at the Waldorf Astoria in New York.
Monge earned an MBA in strategy and leadership from the Drucker School of Management at Claremont Graduate University. He holds a bachelor’s degree in hotel administration from Cornell University’s Nolan School of Hotel Administration. He also completed executive education in the LEAD Business Program at Stanford Graduate School of Business.
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Fortune: Commercial real estate’s seismic transformation is creating new winners—and losers— in the property market
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Fortune | There’s no doubt that commercial real estate, and especially the office market, is undergoing a seismic transformation, one that’s not likely to abate any time soon. A boom time of near-zero-interest-rate policy, abundant liquidity, and cap rate compression over the past decade has given way to a perfect storm–a wall of maturing debt, tightened lending conditions, and cratering property values–all amid higher interest rates that show no sign of returning to their pre-2022 lows.
The outlook for the office sector has been particularly negative. It’s a tale of two markets right now: roughly 30% of office buildings account for 90% of the vacancies and may never recover, while the other 70% have the chance to stabilize over time. Either way, the office market finds itself at an inflection point, much like the retail market as mall acquisitions were being financed.





